Prediction Markets
People with skin in the game predict better than experts without it. Markets make that usable.
Projects
The best forecasting mechanism ever invented is trapped on trading platforms nobody's friends use. Prediction markets scale when they feel like a bet with your roommate, not a financial instrument.
I'm interested as a...
Corporate Internal Prediction Markets
ExploratoryOrganizations are sitting on ground truth they can't access
Last updated: 29 January 2026
Employees know things the org chart will never surface. The incentive structure, trust layer, and information architecture to unlock that knowledge at scale doesn't exist inside most companies yet.
I'm interested as a...